Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.219154 0.247337 0.277184 0.311091 0.348480 0.388388 0.434144
2025-07-27 0.182233 0.220432 0.263245 0.314577 0.374227 0.441130 0.521605
2025-08-03 0.157441 0.202165 0.254773 0.320768 0.400847 0.494348 0.611218
2025-08-10 0.140222 0.189847 0.250751 0.330206 0.430246 0.551081 0.707018
2025-08-17 0.121918 0.173519 0.239417 0.328555 0.444631 0.589185 0.781128
2025-08-24 0.107569 0.160362 0.230293 0.328055 0.459277 0.627198 0.855846
2025-08-31 0.095560 0.148831 0.221856 0.327107 0.472361 0.662891 0.928267
2025-09-07 0.087768 0.142245 0.219270 0.333358 0.494733 0.711053 1.018361
2025-09-14 0.079354 0.133768 0.213080 0.333716 0.508451 0.747595 1.093770
2025-09-21 0.072112 0.126247 0.207479 0.334181 0.521839 0.783690 1.169384
2025-09-28 0.065843 0.119560 0.202444 0.334852 0.535132 0.819713 1.245738
2025-10-05 0.061065 0.114765 0.199813 0.338731 0.552972 0.862493 1.332747
2025-10-12 0.057531 0.111896 0.200253 0.347762 0.579602 0.919995 1.444580
2025-10-19 0.053091 0.107019 0.197048 0.350761 0.597070 0.964677 1.539420
2025-10-26 0.049721 0.103676 0.196051 0.357113 0.619865 1.017975 1.648688
2025-11-02 0.047317 0.101831 0.197377 0.367221 0.648888 1.081572 1.775327
2025-11-09 0.043155 0.096246 0.191777 0.365290 0.658324 1.115335 1.857785
2025-11-16 0.039615 0.091475 0.187192 0.364678 0.669665 1.152201 1.945906
2025-11-23 0.036357 0.086903 0.182572 0.363607 0.680001 1.187611 2.032629
2025-11-30 0.034447 0.084883 0.182472 0.370432 0.703772 1.245029 2.155372
2025-12-07 0.031888 0.081215 0.178958 0.370813 0.716413 1.284766 2.251129
2025-12-14 0.029568 0.077809 0.175661 0.371317 0.729145 1.324895 2.348498
2025-12-21 0.027472 0.074667 0.172621 0.372050 0.742180 1.365785 2.448095